Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 100.629492 115.646343 133.417551 156.364441 185.771537 223.024706 275.237629
2024-10-13 77.109170 94.197714 116.502106 148.884982 196.881865 269.629447 398.632067
2024-10-20 67.368392 85.704810 111.298468 151.776641 219.073763 338.382577 606.690487
2024-10-27 59.503314 77.788182 104.511617 149.454691 231.014958 395.714470 860.473925
2024-11-03 56.177320 75.552467 105.286136 158.801432 266.378081 522.802280 1541.929914
2024-11-10 55.616399 77.186876 112.170282 180.400481 336.548143 808.040729 4412.182990
2024-11-17 51.568979 72.741536 108.091386 180.125912 357.849431 983.666629 9883.928702
2024-11-24 47.990585 68.597945 103.839142 178.366256 374.843695 1177.164130 30238.495489
2024-12-01 44.623023 64.433560 98.943551 174.082753 383.156774 1356.265944 189866.419506
2024-12-08 42.131207 61.495127 95.902491 173.244110 401.986826 1652.851545 NaN
2024-12-15 40.132564 59.207435 93.779466 174.056310 427.300846 2099.962395 NaN
2024-12-22 37.682157 55.922094 89.347619 168.400535 427.334777 2356.601935 NaN
2024-12-29 36.592738 55.171280 90.246139 177.503485 495.914023 4045.684745 NaN
2025-01-05 33.913378 51.365853 84.601812 168.536488 485.244783 4574.698935 NaN
2025-01-12 32.591835 49.919293 83.629371 172.022208 535.753581 7912.565172 NaN
2025-01-19 30.913850 47.664514 80.671220 169.223352 554.222302 11774.084040 NaN
2025-01-26 30.419755 47.580476 82.350019 180.514906 666.307136 55215.896057 NaN
2025-02-02 30.809614 49.215453 88.087174 206.857514 940.903976 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 29.581449 47.558675 86.015648 206.520509 1011.330391 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 28.366063 45.838197 83.599311 204.361999 1065.393457 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 27.096952 43.926711 80.532757 199.116930 1081.378804 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 26.131258 42.571383 78.689078 198.091586 1150.326623 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.330305 41.500916 77.437157 199.084591 1254.935661 NaN NaN